The Earth is full - Paul Gilding
let<00:00:16.470> me<00:00:16.619> begin<00:00:16.800> with<00:00:17.040> four<00:00:17.850> words<00:00:18.060> that<00:00:18.360> will
let me begin with four words that will
let me begin with four words that will
provide<00:00:18.869> the<00:00:19.050> context<00:00:19.500> for<00:00:19.590> this<00:00:19.770> week<00:00:19.980> four
provide the context for this week four
provide the context for this week four
words<00:00:21.210> that<00:00:21.810> will<00:00:22.020> come<00:00:22.260> to<00:00:22.410> define<00:00:22.710> this
words that will come to define this
words that will come to define this
century<00:00:24.290> here<00:00:25.290> they<00:00:25.410> are<00:00:25.700> the<00:00:26.700> earth<00:00:26.910> is<00:00:27.750> full
century here they are the earth is full
century here they are the earth is full
full<00:00:30.840> of<00:00:30.869> us<00:00:31.079> full<00:00:31.680> of<00:00:31.770> our<00:00:31.890> stuff<00:00:31.970> full<00:00:32.970> of<00:00:33.090> our
full of us full of our stuff full of our
full of us full of our stuff full of our
waste<00:00:33.420> full<00:00:34.350> of<00:00:34.470> our<00:00:34.560> demands<00:00:35.480> yes<00:00:36.480> we<00:00:36.810> are<00:00:36.989> a
waste full of our demands yes we are a
waste full of our demands yes we are a
brilliant<00:00:37.380> and<00:00:37.800> creative<00:00:38.100> species<00:00:38.640> but<00:00:39.060> we've
brilliant and creative species but we've
brilliant and creative species but we've
created<00:00:39.390> a<00:00:39.870> little<00:00:40.200> too<00:00:40.470> much<00:00:40.649> stuff<00:00:42.020> so<00:00:43.020> much
created a little too much stuff so much
created a little too much stuff so much
that<00:00:43.500> our<00:00:43.590> economy<00:00:44.100> is<00:00:44.310> now<00:00:45.240> bigger<00:00:45.570> than<00:00:45.630> its
that our economy is now bigger than its
that our economy is now bigger than its
host<00:00:46.110> our<00:00:46.380> planet<00:00:48.710> this<00:00:49.710> is<00:00:49.890> not<00:00:50.040> a
host our planet this is not a
host our planet this is not a
philosophical<00:00:50.810> statement<00:00:51.810> this<00:00:51.930> is<00:00:52.110> just
philosophical statement this is just
philosophical statement this is just
science<00:00:52.530> both<00:00:53.460> in<00:00:53.640> physics<00:00:54.000> chemistry<00:00:54.750> and
science both in physics chemistry and
science both in physics chemistry and
biology
biology
biology
there<00:00:58.410> are<00:00:58.500> many<00:00:58.650> science-based<00:00:59.190> analyses<00:00:59.880> of
there are many science-based analyses of
there are many science-based analyses of
this<00:01:00.180> but<00:01:00.420> they<00:01:00.540> all<00:01:00.570> draw<00:01:00.990> the<00:01:01.560> same
this but they all draw the same
this but they all draw the same
conclusion<00:01:02.430> that<00:01:02.460> we're<00:01:02.790> living<00:01:02.940> beyond<00:01:03.870> our
conclusion that we're living beyond our
conclusion that we're living beyond our
means<00:01:05.000> the<00:01:06.000> eminent<00:01:06.390> scientists<00:01:06.990> of<00:01:07.079> the
means the eminent scientists of the
means the eminent scientists of the
global<00:01:07.470> footprint<00:01:07.860> Network<00:01:08.009> for<00:01:08.400> example
global footprint Network for example
global footprint Network for example
calculate<00:01:09.360> that<00:01:09.509> we<00:01:09.630> need<00:01:09.869> about<00:01:10.560> 1.5<00:01:11.460> earth
calculate that we need about 1.5 earth
calculate that we need about 1.5 earth
to<00:01:12.270> sustain<00:01:12.500> this<00:01:13.500> economy<00:01:14.040> in<00:01:14.220> other<00:01:14.790> words
to sustain this economy in other words
to sustain this economy in other words
to<00:01:16.170> keep<00:01:16.319> operating<00:01:16.649> at<00:01:16.920> our<00:01:17.039> current<00:01:17.310> level
to keep operating at our current level
to keep operating at our current level
we<00:01:18.719> need<00:01:18.780> for<00:01:19.079> 2%<00:01:19.259> more<00:01:19.619> earth<00:01:19.890> than<00:01:20.609> we've<00:01:20.789> got
we need for 2% more earth than we've got
we need for 2% more earth than we've got
in<00:01:24.499> financial<00:01:25.499> terms<00:01:25.770> this<00:01:26.009> would<00:01:26.189> be<00:01:26.310> like
in financial terms this would be like
in financial terms this would be like
always<00:01:26.969> spending<00:01:27.450> 50%<00:01:27.869> more<00:01:28.679> than<00:01:28.799> you<00:01:28.889> earn
always spending 50% more than you earn
always spending 50% more than you earn
going<00:01:29.729> further<00:01:29.939> into<00:01:30.240> debt<00:01:30.420> every<00:01:30.869> year<00:01:31.219> but
going further into debt every year but
going further into debt every year but
of<00:01:32.340> course<00:01:32.609> she<00:01:32.850> can't<00:01:33.090> borrow<00:01:33.389> natural
of course she can't borrow natural
of course she can't borrow natural
resources<00:01:34.469> so<00:01:34.649> we're<00:01:35.389> burning<00:01:36.389> through<00:01:36.569> our
resources so we're burning through our
resources so we're burning through our
capital<00:01:37.170> or<00:01:37.799> stealing<00:01:38.729> from<00:01:38.880> the<00:01:38.999> future
capital or stealing from the future
capital or stealing from the future
so<00:01:41.280> when<00:01:41.639> I<00:01:41.670> say<00:01:41.939> full<00:01:42.209> I<00:01:42.509> mean<00:01:42.749> really<00:01:43.139> full
so when I say full I mean really full
so when I say full I mean really full
well<00:01:44.310> past<00:01:44.670> any<00:01:45.149> margin<00:01:45.630> for<00:01:45.749> error<00:01:45.929> well<00:01:46.259> past
well past any margin for error well past
well past any margin for error well past
any<00:01:46.979> dispute<00:01:47.520> about<00:01:48.209> methodology<00:01:51.079> what<00:01:52.079> this
any dispute about methodology what this
any dispute about methodology what this
means<00:01:52.560> is<00:01:52.740> our<00:01:52.829> economy<00:01:53.369> is<00:01:53.520> unsustainable
means is our economy is unsustainable
means is our economy is unsustainable
I'm<00:01:54.899> not<00:01:55.109> saying<00:01:55.409> it's<00:01:55.619> not<00:01:55.740> nice<00:01:55.950> or<00:01:56.219> Pleasant
I'm not saying it's not nice or Pleasant
I'm not saying it's not nice or Pleasant
or<00:01:56.840> that<00:01:57.840> are<00:01:57.929> spared<00:01:58.139> for<00:01:58.350> polar<00:01:58.560> bears<00:01:58.770> or
or that are spared for polar bears or
or that are spared for polar bears or
forests<00:01:59.579> though<00:02:00.060> it<00:02:00.149> certainly<00:02:00.450> is<00:02:01.189> what<00:02:02.189> I'm
forests though it certainly is what I'm
forests though it certainly is what I'm
saying<00:02:02.670> is<00:02:03.119> our<00:02:03.779> approach<00:02:04.170> is<00:02:04.499> simply
saying is our approach is simply
saying is our approach is simply
unsustainable
unsustainable
unsustainable
in<00:02:05.939> other<00:02:06.179> words<00:02:06.529> thanks<00:02:07.529> for<00:02:07.649> those<00:02:07.709> pesky
in other words thanks for those pesky
in other words thanks for those pesky
laws<00:02:08.250> of<00:02:08.459> physics<00:02:08.759> when<00:02:09.330> things<00:02:09.869> aren't
laws of physics when things aren't
laws of physics when things aren't
sustainable<00:02:10.319> they<00:02:11.190> stop<00:02:11.459> but<00:02:11.910> that's<00:02:12.030> not
sustainable they stop but that's not
sustainable they stop but that's not
possible<00:02:12.510> you<00:02:12.810> might<00:02:13.020> think<00:02:13.290> we<00:02:13.380> can't<00:02:13.620> stop
possible you might think we can't stop
possible you might think we can't stop
economic<00:02:15.630> growth<00:02:15.900> because<00:02:16.590> that's<00:02:16.770> what<00:02:16.920> will
economic growth because that's what will
economic growth because that's what will
stop<00:02:17.310> economic<00:02:18.209> growth<00:02:18.690> it<00:02:19.290> will<00:02:19.410> stop
stop economic growth it will stop
stop economic growth it will stop
because<00:02:19.890> of<00:02:20.160> the<00:02:20.220> end<00:02:20.370> of<00:02:20.550> cheap<00:02:20.760> resources<00:02:21.020> it
because of the end of cheap resources it
because of the end of cheap resources it
will<00:02:22.200> stop<00:02:22.440> because<00:02:22.800> of<00:02:22.830> the<00:02:23.600> growing<00:02:24.600> de
will stop because of the growing de
will stop because of the growing de
and<00:02:25.140> of<00:02:25.530> us<00:02:26.489> on<00:02:26.849> on<00:02:27.810> all<00:02:28.079> the<00:02:28.260> resources<00:02:28.709> all
and of us on on all the resources all
and of us on on all the resources all
the<00:02:28.980> capacity<00:02:29.640> all<00:02:30.030> the<00:02:30.390> systems<00:02:30.810> of<00:02:30.930> the
the capacity all the systems of the
the capacity all the systems of the
earth<00:02:31.109> which<00:02:31.530> is<00:02:31.560> now<00:02:31.859> having<00:02:32.099> economic
earth which is now having economic
earth which is now having economic
damage<00:02:35.930> when<00:02:36.930> we<00:02:37.019> think<00:02:37.260> about<00:02:37.349> economic
damage when we think about economic
damage when we think about economic
growth<00:02:37.829> stopping<00:02:38.459> we<00:02:38.609> go<00:02:38.760> that's<00:02:39.659> not
growth stopping we go that's not
growth stopping we go that's not
possible<00:02:40.109> because<00:02:40.590> economic<00:02:41.010> growth<00:02:41.189> is<00:02:41.370> so
possible because economic growth is so
possible because economic growth is so
central<00:02:42.090> to<00:02:42.120> our<00:02:42.329> society<00:02:43.049> that<00:02:43.650> it<00:02:43.739> is<00:02:43.859> really
central to our society that it is really
central to our society that it is really
questioned<00:02:45.799> although<00:02:46.799> growth<00:02:47.069> has<00:02:47.219> certainly
questioned although growth has certainly
questioned although growth has certainly
differed<00:02:47.819> many<00:02:48.000> benefits<00:02:48.680> it<00:02:49.680> is<00:02:49.829> an<00:02:49.980> idea<00:02:50.250> so
differed many benefits it is an idea so
differed many benefits it is an idea so
central<00:02:51.150> that<00:02:51.359> we<00:02:51.900> tend<00:02:52.500> not<00:02:52.620> to<00:02:53.420> understand
central that we tend not to understand
central that we tend not to understand
the<00:02:54.569> possibility<00:02:55.079> but<00:02:55.139> not<00:02:55.290> being<00:02:55.500> around
the possibility but not being around
the possibility but not being around
even<00:02:56.519> though<00:02:56.609> it<00:02:56.730> has<00:02:56.909> delivered<00:02:57.239> many
even though it has delivered many
even though it has delivered many
benefits<00:02:57.840> it<00:02:58.230> is<00:02:58.379> based<00:02:59.159> on<00:02:59.459> a<00:02:59.760> crazy<00:03:00.269> idea<00:03:00.569> the
benefits it is based on a crazy idea the
benefits it is based on a crazy idea the
crazy<00:03:01.769> idea<00:03:02.250> being<00:03:02.549> that<00:03:02.849> we<00:03:03.180> can<00:03:03.329> have
crazy idea being that we can have
crazy idea being that we can have
infinite<00:03:04.439> growth<00:03:04.590> on<00:03:04.889> a<00:03:05.010> finite<00:03:05.129> planet<00:03:05.639> and
infinite growth on a finite planet and
infinite growth on a finite planet and
I'm<00:03:07.889> here<00:03:08.370> to<00:03:08.489> tell<00:03:08.669> you<00:03:08.849> the<00:03:09.090> emperor<00:03:09.359> has<00:03:09.540> no
I'm here to tell you the emperor has no
I'm here to tell you the emperor has no
clothes<00:03:10.019> that<00:03:10.439> the<00:03:10.769> crazy<00:03:11.189> idea<00:03:11.639> is<00:03:11.879> just<00:03:12.180> that
clothes that the crazy idea is just that
clothes that the crazy idea is just that
it<00:03:12.599> is<00:03:12.629> crazy<00:03:13.019> and<00:03:13.379> with<00:03:13.829> the<00:03:13.950> earth<00:03:14.129> full<00:03:14.430> it's
it is crazy and with the earth full it's
it is crazy and with the earth full it's
game<00:03:15.209> over<00:03:15.739> come<00:03:16.739> on<00:03:16.769> you're<00:03:17.040> thinking<00:03:17.370> that's
game over come on you're thinking that's
game over come on you're thinking that's
not<00:03:18.480> possible<00:03:19.159> technology<00:03:20.159> is<00:03:20.549> amazing
not possible technology is amazing
not possible technology is amazing
people<00:03:21.389> are<00:03:21.629> in<00:03:21.719> innovative<00:03:22.349> there<00:03:22.560> are<00:03:22.680> so
people are in innovative there are so
people are in innovative there are so
many<00:03:22.980> ways<00:03:23.189> we<00:03:23.250> can<00:03:23.669> improve<00:03:24.359> the<00:03:24.540> way<00:03:24.659> we<00:03:24.689> do
many ways we can improve the way we do
many ways we can improve the way we do
things<00:03:25.169> we<00:03:25.349> can<00:03:25.469> surely<00:03:25.680> sort<00:03:26.040> this<00:03:26.159> out
things we can surely sort this out
things we can surely sort this out
that's<00:03:27.989> all<00:03:28.260> true<00:03:28.530> well<00:03:29.040> it's<00:03:29.790> mostly<00:03:30.269> true<00:03:30.599> we
that's all true well it's mostly true we
that's all true well it's mostly true we
are<00:03:31.260> certainly<00:03:31.739> amazing<00:03:32.280> and<00:03:32.459> we<00:03:32.579> regularly
are certainly amazing and we regularly
are certainly amazing and we regularly
solve<00:03:33.329> complex<00:03:33.810> problems<00:03:33.930> with<00:03:34.440> amazing
solve complex problems with amazing
solve complex problems with amazing
creativity<00:03:35.810> so<00:03:36.810> if<00:03:37.139> our<00:03:37.349> problem<00:03:37.620> was<00:03:38.519> to<00:03:38.760> get
creativity so if our problem was to get
creativity so if our problem was to get
the<00:03:39.060> human<00:03:39.359> economy<00:03:39.540> down<00:03:39.989> from<00:03:40.229> 150<00:03:40.799> percent
the human economy down from 150 percent
the human economy down from 150 percent
to<00:03:41.430> a<00:03:41.459> hundred<00:03:41.849> percent<00:03:41.939> of<00:03:42.389> the<00:03:42.989> Earth's
to a hundred percent of the Earth's
to a hundred percent of the Earth's
capacity<00:03:43.349> we<00:03:43.889> could<00:03:44.069> do<00:03:44.220> that<00:03:44.930> the<00:03:45.930> problem<00:03:46.260> is
capacity we could do that the problem is
capacity we could do that the problem is
we're<00:03:46.709> just<00:03:46.919> warming<00:03:47.340> up<00:03:47.459> this<00:03:47.699> growth<00:03:47.970> engine
we're just warming up this growth engine
we're just warming up this growth engine
we<00:03:49.889> plan<00:03:50.189> to<00:03:50.370> take<00:03:50.400> this<00:03:50.819> highly<00:03:51.209> stressed
we plan to take this highly stressed
we plan to take this highly stressed
economy<00:03:52.049> and<00:03:52.519> make<00:03:53.519> it<00:03:53.699> twice<00:03:54.150> as<00:03:54.359> big<00:03:54.599> and
economy and make it twice as big and
economy and make it twice as big and
then<00:03:56.250> make<00:03:56.430> it<00:03:56.459> four<00:03:57.120> times<00:03:57.299> as<00:03:57.569> big<00:03:57.750> not<00:03:58.620> in
then make it four times as big not in
then make it four times as big not in
some<00:03:59.069> distant<00:03:59.430> future<00:04:00.180> but<00:04:00.599> in<00:04:01.530> less<00:04:01.709> than<00:04:01.889> 40
some distant future but in less than 40
some distant future but in less than 40
years<00:04:02.280> in<00:04:02.759> the<00:04:03.329> lifetime<00:04:03.720> of<00:04:03.870> most<00:04:04.079> of<00:04:04.229> you
years in the lifetime of most of you
years in the lifetime of most of you
china<00:04:06.449> plans<00:04:06.750> to<00:04:06.930> be<00:04:07.079> there<00:04:07.409> in<00:04:07.919> just<00:04:07.979> 20<00:04:08.489> years
china plans to be there in just 20 years
china plans to be there in just 20 years
the<00:04:10.799> only<00:04:10.919> problem<00:04:11.430> with<00:04:11.579> this<00:04:11.639> plan<00:04:12.139> is<00:04:13.139> that
the only problem with this plan is that
the only problem with this plan is that
it's<00:04:13.530> not<00:04:13.799> possible<00:04:16.220> in<00:04:17.220> response<00:04:17.729> some
it's not possible in response some
it's not possible in response some
people<00:04:18.299> argue<00:04:18.570> but<00:04:18.780> we<00:04:18.900> need<00:04:19.139> growth<00:04:19.409> we
people argue but we need growth we
people argue but we need growth we
needed<00:04:20.039> to<00:04:20.280> solve<00:04:20.639> poverty<00:04:21.120> we<00:04:21.299> needed<00:04:21.630> to
needed to solve poverty we needed to
needed to solve poverty we needed to
develop<00:04:22.500> technology<00:04:23.070> we<00:04:23.250> needed<00:04:23.520> to<00:04:23.729> keep
develop technology we needed to keep
develop technology we needed to keep
social<00:04:24.630> stability
social stability
social stability
I<00:04:25.409> find<00:04:26.039> this<00:04:26.130> argument<00:04:26.460> fascinating<00:04:27.210> as
I find this argument fascinating as
I find this argument fascinating as
though<00:04:27.680> we<00:04:28.680> can<00:04:28.710> kind<00:04:29.070> of<00:04:29.099> bend<00:04:29.310> the<00:04:29.490> rules<00:04:29.699> of
though we can kind of bend the rules of
though we can kind of bend the rules of
physics<00:04:30.000> to<00:04:30.330> suit<00:04:30.539> our<00:04:30.690> needs
it's<00:04:35.560> like<00:04:35.770> the<00:04:36.130> earth<00:04:36.250> doesn't<00:04:36.580> care<00:04:36.910> what<00:04:37.150> we
it's like the earth doesn't care what we
it's like the earth doesn't care what we
need<00:04:37.510> mother<00:04:37.870> Nature<00:04:38.290> doesn't<00:04:38.320> negotiate<00:04:38.890> she
need mother Nature doesn't negotiate she
need mother Nature doesn't negotiate she
just<00:04:39.610> sets<00:04:39.820> rules<00:04:40.030> and<00:04:40.420> describes
just sets rules and describes
just sets rules and describes
consequences<00:04:42.070> and<00:04:42.310> these<00:04:43.030> are<00:04:43.210> not<00:04:43.360> as<00:04:43.540> a
consequences and these are not as a
consequences and these are not as a
tarik<00:04:44.020> limits<00:04:44.350> this<00:04:44.980> is<00:04:45.040> about<00:04:45.340> food<00:04:45.670> and
tarik limits this is about food and
tarik limits this is about food and
water<00:04:46.180> soil<00:04:46.660> and<00:04:46.900> climate<00:04:47.140> the<00:04:47.380> basic
water soil and climate the basic
water soil and climate the basic
practical<00:04:48.520> and<00:04:48.910> economic<00:04:49.660> foundations<00:04:50.320> of
practical and economic foundations of
practical and economic foundations of
our<00:04:50.650> lives<00:04:53.250> so<00:04:54.250> the<00:04:54.400> idea<00:04:54.790> that<00:04:54.910> we<00:04:55.360> can
our lives so the idea that we can
our lives so the idea that we can
smoothly<00:04:55.840> transition<00:04:56.590> to<00:04:57.070> a<00:04:57.150> highly
smoothly transition to a highly
smoothly transition to a highly
efficient<00:04:58.750> solar<00:04:58.930> powered<00:04:59.680> knowledge-based
efficient solar powered knowledge-based
efficient solar powered knowledge-based
economy<00:05:00.810> transformed<00:05:01.810> by<00:05:01.930> science<00:05:02.320> and
economy transformed by science and
economy transformed by science and
technology<00:05:02.950> so<00:05:03.640> that<00:05:03.790> nine<00:05:03.970> billion<00:05:04.420> people
technology so that nine billion people
technology so that nine billion people
can<00:05:05.140> live<00:05:05.320> in<00:05:05.550> 2015<00:05:06.550> a<00:05:07.170> life<00:05:08.170> of<00:05:08.470> abundance<00:05:08.710> and
can live in 2015 a life of abundance and
can live in 2015 a life of abundance and
digital<00:05:09.430> downloads<00:05:09.910> is<00:05:10.570> a<00:05:10.720> delusion<00:05:12.480> it's<00:05:13.480> not
digital downloads is a delusion it's not
digital downloads is a delusion it's not
that<00:05:13.780> it's<00:05:13.900> not<00:05:14.050> possible<00:05:14.320> to<00:05:14.620> feed<00:05:14.860> clothe
that it's not possible to feed clothe
that it's not possible to feed clothe
and<00:05:15.400> house<00:05:15.580> us<00:05:15.760> all<00:05:15.880> and<00:05:16.030> heavily<00:05:16.300> live<00:05:16.900> decent
and house us all and heavily live decent
and house us all and heavily live decent
lives<00:05:18.090> it<00:05:19.090> certainly<00:05:19.480> is<00:05:19.690> but<00:05:20.220> the<00:05:21.220> idea<00:05:21.610> that
lives it certainly is but the idea that
lives it certainly is but the idea that
we<00:05:21.940> can<00:05:22.440> gently<00:05:23.440> grow<00:05:23.890> there<00:05:24.190> with<00:05:24.310> a<00:05:24.340> few
we can gently grow there with a few
we can gently grow there with a few
minor<00:05:24.700> hiccups<00:05:25.150> is<00:05:25.480> just<00:05:25.780> wrong<00:05:25.990> and<00:05:26.230> it's
minor hiccups is just wrong and it's
minor hiccups is just wrong and it's
dangerously<00:05:27.610> wrong<00:05:28.050> because<00:05:29.050> it<00:05:29.380> means<00:05:29.620> we're
dangerously wrong because it means we're
dangerously wrong because it means we're
not<00:05:29.830> getting<00:05:30.070> ready<00:05:30.400> for<00:05:30.640> what's<00:05:30.760> really
not getting ready for what's really
not getting ready for what's really
going<00:05:31.210> to<00:05:31.270> happen<00:05:32.130> see<00:05:33.130> what<00:05:33.280> happens<00:05:33.670> when
going to happen see what happens when
going to happen see what happens when
you<00:05:34.240> operate<00:05:35.110> a<00:05:35.260> system<00:05:35.530> passes<00:05:36.190> limits<00:05:36.520> and
you operate a system passes limits and
you operate a system passes limits and
then<00:05:37.960> keep<00:05:38.680> on<00:05:38.860> going<00:05:39.310> at<00:05:39.490> an
then keep on going at an
then keep on going at an
ever-accelerating<00:05:40.510> rate<00:05:41.670> is<00:05:42.670> that<00:05:42.850> the
ever-accelerating rate is that the
ever-accelerating rate is that the
system<00:05:43.330> stops<00:05:43.870> working<00:05:44.110> and<00:05:44.410> breaks<00:05:44.950> down<00:05:45.070> and
system stops working and breaks down and
system stops working and breaks down and
that's<00:05:47.170> what<00:05:47.710> will<00:05:47.830> happen<00:05:48.130> to<00:05:48.280> us<00:05:53.040> many<00:05:54.040> of
that's what will happen to us many of
that's what will happen to us many of
you<00:05:54.310> will<00:05:54.400> be<00:05:54.430> thinking<00:05:55.500> but<00:05:56.500> surely<00:05:56.800> we<00:05:56.890> can
you will be thinking but surely we can
you will be thinking but surely we can
still<00:05:57.190> stop<00:05:57.400> this<00:05:57.580> if<00:05:57.760> it's<00:05:57.880> that<00:05:58.030> bad<00:05:58.530> we'll
still stop this if it's that bad we'll
still stop this if it's that bad we'll
react
react
react
let's<00:06:01.300> just<00:06:01.540> think<00:06:01.990> through<00:06:02.110> that<00:06:02.470> idea<00:06:02.860> now
let's just think through that idea now
let's just think through that idea now
we've<00:06:03.700> had<00:06:04.020> 50<00:06:05.020> years<00:06:05.050> of<00:06:05.470> warnings<00:06:06.240> we've<00:06:07.240> had
we've had 50 years of warnings we've had
we've had 50 years of warnings we've had
science<00:06:09.220> proving<00:06:10.000> the<00:06:10.330> urgency<00:06:10.870> of<00:06:10.900> change
science proving the urgency of change
science proving the urgency of change
we've<00:06:11.920> had<00:06:12.180> Economic<00:06:13.180> Analysis<00:06:13.690> pointing<00:06:14.230> out
we've had Economic Analysis pointing out
we've had Economic Analysis pointing out
that<00:06:14.500> not<00:06:14.620> only<00:06:14.680> can<00:06:15.040> we<00:06:15.190> afford<00:06:15.430> it<00:06:15.610> it's
that not only can we afford it it's
that not only can we afford it it's
cheaper<00:06:16.780> to<00:06:16.810> act<00:06:17.110> early<00:06:17.290> and<00:06:17.680> yet<00:06:18.310> the<00:06:18.400> reality
cheaper to act early and yet the reality
cheaper to act early and yet the reality
is<00:06:18.970> we've<00:06:19.360> done<00:06:19.600> pretty<00:06:20.560> much<00:06:20.770> nothing<00:06:21.220> to
is we've done pretty much nothing to
is we've done pretty much nothing to
change<00:06:22.000> course<00:06:22.390> we're<00:06:22.930> not<00:06:23.140> even<00:06:23.920> slowing
change course we're not even slowing
change course we're not even slowing
down<00:06:24.990> last<00:06:25.990> year<00:06:26.260> on<00:06:26.380> climate<00:06:26.710> for<00:06:26.830> example<00:06:26.920> we
down last year on climate for example we
down last year on climate for example we
had<00:06:27.970> the<00:06:28.090> highest<00:06:28.300> global<00:06:28.630> emissions<00:06:28.930> ever
had the highest global emissions ever
had the highest global emissions ever
the<00:06:30.280> story<00:06:30.520> on<00:06:30.760> food<00:06:31.000> on<00:06:31.270> water<00:06:31.480> on<00:06:31.750> soil<00:06:32.050> and
the story on food on water on soil and
the story on food on water on soil and
climate<00:06:32.530> is<00:06:32.830> all<00:06:33.250> much<00:06:33.430> the<00:06:33.610> same
climate is all much the same
climate is all much the same
they<00:06:35.980> don't<00:06:36.400> say<00:06:36.640> this<00:06:36.820> in<00:06:37.090> despair<00:06:37.480> I've<00:06:37.780> done
they don't say this in despair I've done
they don't say this in despair I've done
my<00:06:38.560> grieving<00:06:39.070> about<00:06:39.370> the<00:06:39.730> loss<00:06:39.940> I<00:06:40.240> accept
my grieving about the loss I accept
my grieving about the loss I accept
where<00:06:41.440> we<00:06:41.560> are<00:06:41.740> it<00:06:42.010> is<00:06:42.070> sad<00:06:42.900> but<00:06:43.900> it<00:06:44.020> is<00:06:44.140> what<00:06:44.350> it
where we are it is sad but it is what it
where we are it is sad but it is what it
is<00:06:45.420> but<00:06:46.420> it<00:06:46.510> is<00:06:46.630> also<00:06:46.840> time<00:06:47.290> that<00:06:47.320> we<00:06:47.560> ended<00:06:47.800> our
is but it is also time that we ended our
is but it is also time that we ended our
denial
denial
denial
and<00:06:49.470> recognized<00:06:51.180> that<00:06:52.180> we're<00:06:52.330> not<00:06:52.570> acting
and recognized that we're not acting
and recognized that we're not acting
we're<00:06:53.740> not<00:06:53.890> close<00:06:54.550> to<00:06:54.730> acting<00:06:55.090> and<00:06:55.240> we're<00:06:55.870> not
we're not close to acting and we're not
we're not close to acting and we're not
going<00:06:56.290> to<00:06:56.530> act<00:06:56.710> until<00:06:57.100> this<00:06:57.250> crisis<00:06:57.730> hits<00:06:57.940> the
going to act until this crisis hits the
going to act until this crisis hits the
economy<00:06:58.540> and<00:06:58.750> that's<00:06:59.650> why<00:06:59.860> the<00:06:59.920> end<00:07:00.160> of<00:07:00.310> growth
economy and that's why the end of growth
economy and that's why the end of growth
is<00:07:00.910> the<00:07:01.120> central<00:07:01.510> issue<00:07:01.600> and<00:07:02.020> the<00:07:02.830> event<00:07:03.130> that
is the central issue and the event that
is the central issue and the event that
we<00:07:03.340> need<00:07:03.520> to<00:07:03.610> get<00:07:03.700> ready<00:07:03.880> for<00:07:05.580> so<00:07:06.580> when<00:07:07.510> does
we need to get ready for so when does
we need to get ready for so when does
this<00:07:07.810> transition<00:07:08.350> begin<00:07:08.650> when<00:07:09.220> does<00:07:09.340> this
this transition begin when does this
this transition begin when does this
breakdown<00:07:09.850> begin<00:07:10.420> in<00:07:11.010> my<00:07:12.010> view<00:07:12.280> it<00:07:12.520> is<00:07:12.550> well
breakdown begin in my view it is well
breakdown begin in my view it is well
underway<00:07:13.090> I<00:07:13.480> know<00:07:13.810> most<00:07:14.380> people<00:07:14.650> don't<00:07:14.770> see<00:07:14.890> it
underway I know most people don't see it
underway I know most people don't see it
that<00:07:15.310> way<00:07:15.460> we<00:07:15.700> tend<00:07:15.940> to<00:07:16.060> look<00:07:16.240> at<00:07:16.390> the<00:07:16.540> world
that way we tend to look at the world
that way we tend to look at the world
not<00:07:17.590> as<00:07:17.800> the<00:07:17.950> integrated<00:07:18.430> system<00:07:18.670> that<00:07:18.880> it<00:07:19.030> is
not as the integrated system that it is
not as the integrated system that it is
but<00:07:20.110> as<00:07:20.200> a<00:07:20.230> series<00:07:20.680> of<00:07:20.710> individual<00:07:21.430> issues<00:07:21.760> we
but as a series of individual issues we
but as a series of individual issues we
see<00:07:22.600> the<00:07:23.380> Occupy<00:07:23.830> protests<00:07:24.460> we<00:07:24.610> see<00:07:25.140> spiraling
see the Occupy protests we see spiraling
see the Occupy protests we see spiraling
debt<00:07:26.320> crises<00:07:26.650> we<00:07:27.190> see<00:07:27.460> growing<00:07:27.940> inequality<00:07:28.600> we
debt crises we see growing inequality we
debt crises we see growing inequality we
see<00:07:29.080> money's<00:07:29.500> influence<00:07:29.650> on<00:07:30.010> politics<00:07:30.460> we<00:07:30.730> see
see money's influence on politics we see
see money's influence on politics we see
resource<00:07:31.900> constraint<00:07:32.500> food<00:07:32.860> and<00:07:33.040> oil<00:07:33.220> prices
resource constraint food and oil prices
resource constraint food and oil prices
but<00:07:33.730> we<00:07:33.820> see<00:07:34.060> mistakenly<00:07:34.990> each<00:07:35.320> of<00:07:35.500> these
but we see mistakenly each of these
but we see mistakenly each of these
issues<00:07:35.770> as<00:07:36.160> individual<00:07:36.850> problems<00:07:37.180> to<00:07:37.780> be
issues as individual problems to be
issues as individual problems to be
solved<00:07:38.290> in<00:07:39.300> fact<00:07:40.300> it's<00:07:40.840> a<00:07:40.990> system<00:07:41.350> in<00:07:41.560> the
solved in fact it's a system in the
solved in fact it's a system in the
painful<00:07:42.430> process<00:07:42.670> of<00:07:43.090> breaking<00:07:43.600> down<00:07:43.810> our
painful process of breaking down our
painful process of breaking down our
system<00:07:45.190> of<00:07:45.750> debt<00:07:46.750> fueled<00:07:46.930> economic<00:07:47.410> growth<00:07:47.620> of
system of debt fueled economic growth of
system of debt fueled economic growth of
ineffective<00:07:49.300> democracy<00:07:49.870> either<00:07:50.340> overloading
ineffective democracy either overloading
ineffective democracy either overloading
planet<00:07:51.670> Earth<00:07:51.850> is<00:07:52.180> eating<00:07:52.780> itself<00:07:53.080> alive<00:07:53.680> I
could<00:07:57.490> give<00:07:57.670> you<00:07:57.760> countless<00:07:58.120> studies<00:07:58.810> and
could give you countless studies and
could give you countless studies and
evidence<00:07:59.770> to<00:07:59.890> prove<00:08:00.070> this<00:08:00.280> but<00:08:00.610> I<00:08:00.700> won't
evidence to prove this but I won't
evidence to prove this but I won't
because<00:08:01.240> if<00:08:01.990> you<00:08:02.170> want<00:08:02.320> to<00:08:02.410> see<00:08:02.590> it<00:08:02.740> that
because if you want to see it that
because if you want to see it that
evidence<00:08:03.490> is<00:08:04.150> all<00:08:04.540> around<00:08:04.570> you<00:08:05.080> I<00:08:05.400> want<00:08:06.400> to
evidence is all around you I want to
evidence is all around you I want to
talk<00:08:06.640> to<00:08:06.760> you<00:08:06.880> about<00:08:07.210> fear<00:08:07.810> I<00:08:08.640> want<00:08:09.640> to<00:08:09.730> do<00:08:09.910> so
talk to you about fear I want to do so
talk to you about fear I want to do so
because<00:08:10.420> in<00:08:10.930> my<00:08:11.170> view<00:08:11.530> the<00:08:12.250> most<00:08:12.520> important
because in my view the most important
because in my view the most important
issue<00:08:14.070> we<00:08:15.070> face<00:08:16.050> right<00:08:17.050> is<00:08:17.260> how<00:08:17.530> we<00:08:17.590> respond<00:08:18.550> to
issue we face right is how we respond to
issue we face right is how we respond to
this<00:08:19.420> question<00:08:19.900> the<00:08:21.390> crisis<00:08:22.390> is<00:08:22.600> now
this question the crisis is now
this question the crisis is now
inevitable<00:08:23.520> the<00:08:24.520> issue<00:08:24.700> is<00:08:25.140> how<00:08:26.140> will<00:08:26.350> we
inevitable the issue is how will we
inevitable the issue is how will we
react<00:08:27.600> of<00:08:28.600> course<00:08:28.900> we<00:08:29.050> can't<00:08:29.260> know<00:08:29.470> what<00:08:29.500> will
react of course we can't know what will
react of course we can't know what will
happen<00:08:30.010> the<00:08:31.000> future<00:08:31.360> is<00:08:31.510> inherently
happen the future is inherently
happen the future is inherently
uncertain<00:08:32.530> but<00:08:32.830> let's<00:08:32.979> just<00:08:33.160> think<00:08:33.250> through
uncertain but let's just think through
uncertain but let's just think through
what<00:08:33.970> the<00:08:34.000> science<00:08:34.540> is<00:08:34.660> telling<00:08:34.690> us<00:08:35.080> is<00:08:35.320> likely
what the science is telling us is likely
what the science is telling us is likely
to<00:08:36.520> happen<00:08:38.280> imagine<00:08:39.280> our<00:08:39.370> economy<00:08:40.740> when<00:08:41.740> the
to happen imagine our economy when the
to happen imagine our economy when the
carbon<00:08:42.130> bubble<00:08:42.520> bursts<00:08:43.180> when<00:08:43.810> the<00:08:43.960> financial
carbon bubble bursts when the financial
carbon bubble bursts when the financial
markets<00:08:44.710> recognize<00:08:45.190> that<00:08:45.370> they<00:08:45.490> have<00:08:45.640> any
markets recognize that they have any
markets recognize that they have any
hope<00:08:46.000> of<00:08:46.210> preventing<00:08:47.140> that<00:08:47.500> climate
hope of preventing that climate
hope of preventing that climate
spiraling<00:08:48.370> out<00:08:48.520> of<00:08:48.550> control<00:08:49.590> the<00:08:50.590> oil<00:08:50.830> and
spiraling out of control the oil and
spiraling out of control the oil and
coal<00:08:51.490> industries<00:08:51.790> are<00:08:52.420> finished<00:08:54.180> imagine
coal industries are finished imagine
coal industries are finished imagine
China<00:08:55.510> India<00:08:55.990> and<00:08:56.140> Pakistan<00:08:56.590> going<00:08:56.920> to<00:08:57.040> war<00:08:57.250> as
China India and Pakistan going to war as
China India and Pakistan going to war as
climate<00:08:58.540> impacts<00:08:59.910> generate<00:09:00.910> conflict<00:09:01.390> over
climate impacts generate conflict over
climate impacts generate conflict over
food<00:09:01.780> and<00:09:01.840> water
food and water
food and water
imagine<00:09:04.399> the<00:09:04.459> middle-east<00:09:04.820> without<00:09:05.149> oil
imagine the middle-east without oil
imagine the middle-east without oil
income<00:09:05.829> but<00:09:06.829> with<00:09:07.010> collapsing<00:09:07.279> governments
income but with collapsing governments
income but with collapsing governments
imagine<00:09:09.740> our<00:09:09.980> highly<00:09:10.490> tuned<00:09:10.850> just-in-time
imagine our highly tuned just-in-time
imagine our highly tuned just-in-time
food<00:09:11.930> industry<00:09:12.350> and<00:09:12.529> our<00:09:13.070> highly<00:09:13.370> stressed
food industry and our highly stressed
food industry and our highly stressed
agricultural<00:09:14.329> system<00:09:14.630> failing<00:09:14.899> and
agricultural system failing and
agricultural system failing and
supermarket<00:09:16.700> shelves<00:09:16.940> empty<00:09:19.720> imagine<00:09:20.720> 30%
supermarket shelves empty imagine 30%
supermarket shelves empty imagine 30%
unemployment<00:09:21.860> in<00:09:22.399> America<00:09:22.820> as<00:09:23.029> the<00:09:23.540> global
unemployment in America as the global
unemployment in America as the global
economy<00:09:24.380> is<00:09:24.529> gripped<00:09:24.769> by<00:09:24.949> fear<00:09:24.980> and
economy is gripped by fear and
economy is gripped by fear and
uncertainty<00:09:26.410> now<00:09:27.410> imagine<00:09:27.800> what<00:09:27.980> that<00:09:28.130> means
uncertainty now imagine what that means
uncertainty now imagine what that means
for<00:09:28.670> you<00:09:28.820> your<00:09:29.420> family<00:09:29.980> your<00:09:30.980> friends<00:09:31.010> your
for you your family your friends your
for you your family your friends your
personal<00:09:32.389> financial<00:09:32.930> security<00:09:33.529> imagine<00:09:34.490> what
personal financial security imagine what
personal financial security imagine what
it<00:09:34.730> means<00:09:34.910> for<00:09:35.149> your<00:09:35.529> personal<00:09:36.529> security<00:09:36.829> as<00:09:37.839> a
it means for your personal security as a
it means for your personal security as a
heavily<00:09:39.260> armed<00:09:39.440> civilian<00:09:39.949> population<00:09:40.490> gets
heavily armed civilian population gets
heavily armed civilian population gets
angrier<00:09:41.029> and<00:09:41.240> angrier<00:09:41.570> about<00:09:42.110> why<00:09:42.589> this<00:09:43.430> was
angrier and angrier about why this was
angrier and angrier about why this was
allowed<00:09:43.850> to<00:09:43.880> happen<00:09:46.060> imagine<00:09:47.060> what<00:09:47.269> you'll
allowed to happen imagine what you'll
allowed to happen imagine what you'll
tell<00:09:47.600> your<00:09:47.750> children<00:09:47.990> when<00:09:48.290> they<00:09:48.380> ask<00:09:48.410> you<00:09:48.800> so
tell your children when they ask you so
tell your children when they ask you so
in<00:09:50.420> 2012<00:09:51.230> mom<00:09:51.889> and<00:09:52.040> dad<00:09:52.130> what<00:09:52.279> was<00:09:52.430> it<00:09:52.550> like
in 2012 mom and dad what was it like
in 2012 mom and dad what was it like
when<00:09:54.170> you'd<00:09:54.350> had<00:09:54.589> the<00:09:55.459> hottest<00:09:55.670> decade<00:09:56.060> on
when you'd had the hottest decade on
when you'd had the hottest decade on
record<00:09:56.660> for<00:09:56.870> the<00:09:56.959> third<00:09:57.230> decade<00:09:57.800> in<00:09:58.040> a<00:09:58.130> row
record for the third decade in a row
record for the third decade in a row
when<00:09:59.570> every<00:09:59.839> scientific<00:10:00.230> body<00:10:00.529> in<00:10:00.680> the<00:10:00.800> world
when every scientific body in the world
when every scientific body in the world
was<00:10:01.279> saying<00:10:01.579> you've<00:10:01.850> got<00:10:02.029> a<00:10:02.060> major<00:10:02.240> problem
was saying you've got a major problem
was saying you've got a major problem
when<00:10:05.180> the<00:10:05.300> oceans<00:10:05.690> are<00:10:05.839> acidifying<00:10:05.870> when<00:10:06.620> oil
when the oceans are acidifying when oil
when the oceans are acidifying when oil
and<00:10:07.040> food<00:10:07.220> prices<00:10:07.279> were<00:10:07.850> spiking<00:10:08.180> when<00:10:08.690> they
and food prices were spiking when they
and food prices were spiking when they
were<00:10:09.589> rioting<00:10:09.920> in<00:10:10.339> the<00:10:10.370> streets<00:10:10.490> of<00:10:10.910> London
were rioting in the streets of London
were rioting in the streets of London
and<00:10:11.540> Occupy<00:10:12.230> Wall<00:10:12.500> Street<00:10:12.829> when<00:10:13.670> the<00:10:13.790> system
and Occupy Wall Street when the system
and Occupy Wall Street when the system
was<00:10:14.240> so<00:10:14.390> clearly<00:10:14.660> breaking<00:10:14.959> down<00:10:15.410> mum<00:10:15.649> and<00:10:15.800> dad
was so clearly breaking down mum and dad
was so clearly breaking down mum and dad
what<00:10:17.300> did<00:10:17.390> you<00:10:17.480> do<00:10:17.660> what<00:10:18.649> were<00:10:18.769> you<00:10:18.860> thinking
so<00:10:22.550> how<00:10:22.699> do<00:10:22.760> you<00:10:23.029> feel<00:10:23.920> when<00:10:24.920> the<00:10:24.949> lights<00:10:25.220> go
so how do you feel when the lights go
so how do you feel when the lights go
out<00:10:25.640> on<00:10:26.209> the<00:10:27.050> global<00:10:27.320> economy<00:10:27.769> in<00:10:27.980> your<00:10:28.190> mind
when<00:10:31.459> your<00:10:31.610> assumptions<00:10:32.149> about<00:10:32.990> the<00:10:33.350> future
when your assumptions about the future
when your assumptions about the future
fade<00:10:34.910> away<00:10:35.209> and<00:10:35.510> something<00:10:36.170> very<00:10:36.320> different
fade away and something very different
fade away and something very different
emerges<00:10:37.490> just<00:10:38.589> take<00:10:39.589> a<00:10:39.620> moment<00:10:39.970> and<00:10:40.970> take<00:10:41.209> a
emerges just take a moment and take a
emerges just take a moment and take a
breath<00:10:41.540> and<00:10:43.180> think<00:10:44.180> what<00:10:44.449> do<00:10:44.570> you<00:10:44.630> feel<00:10:44.930> at
breath and think what do you feel at
breath and think what do you feel at
this<00:10:46.069> point
perhaps<00:10:52.740> denial<00:10:54.380> perhaps<00:10:55.380> anger<00:10:57.350> maybe<00:10:58.350> fear
of<00:11:03.090> course<00:11:03.540> we<00:11:04.260> can't<00:11:04.560> know<00:11:04.650> what's<00:11:05.220> going<00:11:05.460> to
of course we can't know what's going to
of course we can't know what's going to
happen<00:11:05.610> we<00:11:05.940> have<00:11:06.090> to<00:11:06.180> live<00:11:06.390> with<00:11:07.020> uncertainty
happen we have to live with uncertainty
happen we have to live with uncertainty
well<00:11:08.760> when<00:11:09.090> we<00:11:09.210> think<00:11:09.510> about<00:11:09.630> the<00:11:10.140> kind<00:11:10.350> of
well when we think about the kind of
well when we think about the kind of
possibilities<00:11:11.310> I<00:11:11.460> paint<00:11:12.290> we<00:11:13.290> should<00:11:13.500> feel<00:11:13.710> a
possibilities I paint we should feel a
possibilities I paint we should feel a
bit<00:11:13.950> of<00:11:14.070> fear<00:11:16.460> we<00:11:17.460> are<00:11:17.610> in<00:11:17.790> danger<00:11:18.270> all<00:11:18.810> of<00:11:19.080> us
bit of fear we are in danger all of us
bit of fear we are in danger all of us
and<00:11:19.590> we've<00:11:20.430> evolved<00:11:21.000> to<00:11:21.090> respond<00:11:21.510> to<00:11:21.810> danger
and we've evolved to respond to danger
and we've evolved to respond to danger
with<00:11:22.440> fear<00:11:22.710> to<00:11:23.400> motivate<00:11:23.880> a<00:11:24.090> powerful
with fear to motivate a powerful
with fear to motivate a powerful
response<00:11:25.910> to<00:11:26.910> help<00:11:27.150> us<00:11:27.270> bravely<00:11:27.540> face<00:11:27.900> a
response to help us bravely face a
response to help us bravely face a
threat<00:11:28.640> but<00:11:29.640> this<00:11:29.850> time<00:11:30.120> is<00:11:30.450> not<00:11:30.930> a<00:11:30.960> tiger<00:11:31.260> at
threat but this time is not a tiger at
threat but this time is not a tiger at
the<00:11:32.070> cave<00:11:32.280> mouth<00:11:32.570> you<00:11:33.570> can't<00:11:33.870> see<00:11:34.200> the<00:11:34.380> danger
the cave mouth you can't see the danger
the cave mouth you can't see the danger
at<00:11:34.950> your<00:11:35.160> door<00:11:35.370> but<00:11:36.060> if<00:11:36.150> you<00:11:36.270> look<00:11:36.510> you<00:11:37.260> can<00:11:37.380> see
at your door but if you look you can see
at your door but if you look you can see
it<00:11:37.770> at<00:11:37.920> the<00:11:37.950> door<00:11:38.220> of<00:11:38.490> your<00:11:38.640> civilization
that's<00:11:42.480> what<00:11:42.690> we<00:11:42.810> need<00:11:42.960> to<00:11:43.050> fill<00:11:43.230> our<00:11:43.350> response
that's what we need to fill our response
that's what we need to fill our response
now<00:11:43.980> while<00:11:44.280> the<00:11:44.370> lights<00:11:44.550> are<00:11:44.700> still<00:11:44.790> on
now while the lights are still on
now while the lights are still on
because<00:11:45.420> if<00:11:45.540> we<00:11:45.720> wait<00:11:45.930> until<00:11:46.290> the<00:11:46.470> crisis
because if we wait until the crisis
because if we wait until the crisis
takes<00:11:47.100> hold<00:11:47.370> we<00:11:48.030> may<00:11:48.210> panic<00:11:48.510> and<00:11:48.810> hide<00:11:49.020> if<00:11:49.410> we
takes hold we may panic and hide if we
takes hold we may panic and hide if we
feel<00:11:50.520> it<00:11:50.670> now<00:11:50.850> and<00:11:51.150> think<00:11:51.360> it<00:11:51.480> true<00:11:51.690> we<00:11:52.080> will
feel it now and think it true we will
feel it now and think it true we will
realize<00:11:52.620> we<00:11:52.890> have<00:11:53.070> nothing<00:11:53.370> to<00:11:53.460> fear<00:11:53.670> but<00:11:53.970> fear
realize we have nothing to fear but fear
realize we have nothing to fear but fear
itself<00:11:58.370> yes<00:11:59.370> things<00:11:59.700> will<00:11:59.880> get<00:11:59.970> ugly<00:12:00.120> and<00:12:00.510> it
itself yes things will get ugly and it
itself yes things will get ugly and it
will<00:12:01.440> happen<00:12:01.590> soon<00:12:02.010> certainly<00:12:02.520> in<00:12:02.580> our
will happen soon certainly in our
will happen soon certainly in our
lifetime<00:12:03.420> but<00:12:03.710> we<00:12:04.710> are<00:12:04.890> more<00:12:05.190> than<00:12:05.340> capable<00:12:05.550> of
lifetime but we are more than capable of
lifetime but we are more than capable of
getting<00:12:06.090> true<00:12:06.600> everything<00:12:07.500> that's<00:12:07.740> coming
getting true everything that's coming
getting true everything that's coming
you<00:12:08.730> see<00:12:08.970> those<00:12:09.360> people<00:12:09.740> that<00:12:10.740> have<00:12:10.980> faith
you see those people that have faith
you see those people that have faith
that<00:12:11.400> humans<00:12:11.970> can<00:12:12.090> solve<00:12:12.300> any<00:12:12.510> problem<00:12:12.540> that
that humans can solve any problem that
that humans can solve any problem that
technology<00:12:15.360> is<00:12:15.480> limitless<00:12:15.780> the<00:12:16.170> markets<00:12:17.100> can
technology is limitless the markets can
technology is limitless the markets can
be<00:12:17.250> a<00:12:17.370> force<00:12:17.430> for<00:12:17.790> good<00:12:17.850> are<00:12:18.120> in<00:12:18.300> fact<00:12:18.540> right
be a force for good are in fact right
be a force for good are in fact right
the<00:12:20.730> only<00:12:20.850> thing<00:12:21.120> they're<00:12:21.270> missing<00:12:21.500> is<00:12:22.500> that
the only thing they're missing is that
the only thing they're missing is that
it<00:12:22.770> takes<00:12:22.920> a<00:12:23.070> good<00:12:23.160> crisis<00:12:23.640> to<00:12:23.760> get<00:12:23.880> us<00:12:24.000> going
it takes a good crisis to get us going
it takes a good crisis to get us going
when<00:12:25.680> we<00:12:25.710> feel<00:12:26.040> fear<00:12:26.370> and<00:12:26.640> we<00:12:26.940> fear<00:12:27.210> loss<00:12:27.480> we
when we feel fear and we fear loss we
when we feel fear and we fear loss we
are<00:12:27.870> capable<00:12:28.110> of<00:12:28.410> quite<00:12:28.680> extraordinary
are capable of quite extraordinary
are capable of quite extraordinary
things<00:12:29.780> think<00:12:30.780> about<00:12:31.520> war<00:12:33.320> after<00:12:34.320> the<00:12:34.350> bombing
things think about war after the bombing
things think about war after the bombing
of<00:12:34.740> Pearl<00:12:34.950> Harbor<00:12:35.010> it<00:12:35.520> just<00:12:35.700> took<00:12:35.820> four<00:12:36.090> days
of Pearl Harbor it just took four days
of Pearl Harbor it just took four days
for<00:12:36.690> the<00:12:36.720> government<00:12:37.140> to<00:12:37.260> ban<00:12:37.440> the<00:12:37.620> production
for the government to ban the production
for the government to ban the production
of<00:12:38.130> civilian<00:12:38.520> cars<00:12:38.760> and<00:12:39.090> to<00:12:39.540> redirect<00:12:39.930> the
of civilian cars and to redirect the
of civilian cars and to redirect the
auto<00:12:40.320> industry<00:12:40.920> and<00:12:41.100> from<00:12:41.550> there<00:12:41.760> to
auto industry and from there to
auto industry and from there to
rationing<00:12:42.420> of<00:12:42.480> food<00:12:42.690> and<00:12:42.870> energy
rationing of food and energy
rationing of food and energy
think<00:12:44.790> about<00:12:44.970> how<00:12:45.210> a<00:12:45.240> company<00:12:45.570> responds<00:12:46.260> to
think about how a company responds to
think about how a company responds to
bankruptcy<00:12:46.950> threats<00:12:47.370> and<00:12:47.550> how<00:12:47.970> change<00:12:48.330> that
bankruptcy threats and how change that
bankruptcy threats and how change that
seemed<00:12:48.690> impossible<00:12:48.840> just<00:12:49.710> gets<00:12:49.890> done<00:12:50.540> think
seemed impossible just gets done think
seemed impossible just gets done think
about<00:12:51.750> how<00:12:51.960> an<00:12:52.080> individual<00:12:52.620> responds<00:12:53.070> to<00:12:53.160> a
about how an individual responds to a
about how an individual responds to a
diagnosis<00:12:54.420> of<00:12:54.600> a<00:12:55.170> life-threatening<00:12:55.620> illness
diagnosis of a life-threatening illness
diagnosis of a life-threatening illness
and<00:12:56.220> how<00:12:56.310> lifestyle<00:12:56.910> changes<00:12:57.420> that
and how lifestyle changes that
and how lifestyle changes that
previously<00:12:59.070> were<00:12:59.220> just<00:12:59.370> too<00:12:59.490> difficult
previously were just too difficult
previously were just too difficult
suddenly<00:13:01.200> become<00:13:01.500> relatively<00:13:01.980> easy
suddenly become relatively easy
suddenly become relatively easy
we<00:13:05.200> are<00:13:05.380> smart<00:13:05.650> in<00:13:05.980> fact<00:13:06.310> we<00:13:06.460> really<00:13:06.490> are<00:13:06.790> quite
we are smart in fact we really are quite
we are smart in fact we really are quite
amazing<00:13:07.570> but<00:13:07.720> we<00:13:07.840> do<00:13:08.080> love<00:13:08.290> a<00:13:08.320> good<00:13:08.410> crisis<00:13:08.980> and
amazing but we do love a good crisis and
amazing but we do love a good crisis and
the<00:13:09.970> good<00:13:10.150> news<00:13:10.390> this<00:13:10.780> one's<00:13:11.020> a<00:13:11.170> monster<00:13:13.350> sure
the good news this one's a monster sure
the good news this one's a monster sure
if<00:13:14.650> we<00:13:14.800> get<00:13:14.950> it<00:13:15.040> wrong<00:13:15.190> we<00:13:15.250> could<00:13:15.730> face<00:13:15.970> the<00:13:16.120> end
if we get it wrong we could face the end
if we get it wrong we could face the end
of<00:13:16.420> this<00:13:16.510> civilization<00:13:17.370> but<00:13:18.370> if<00:13:18.490> we<00:13:18.580> get<00:13:18.700> it
of this civilization but if we get it
of this civilization but if we get it
right<00:13:18.970> it<00:13:19.720> could<00:13:19.960> be<00:13:20.020> the<00:13:20.230> beginning<00:13:20.350> of
right it could be the beginning of
right it could be the beginning of
civilization<00:13:21.280> instead<00:13:22.240> and<00:13:22.770> how<00:13:23.770> cool<00:13:24.100> would
civilization instead and how cool would
civilization instead and how cool would
it<00:13:24.610> be<00:13:24.700> to<00:13:25.120> tell<00:13:25.630> your<00:13:25.810> grandchildren<00:13:26.110> that
it be to tell your grandchildren that
it be to tell your grandchildren that
you<00:13:26.590> were<00:13:26.830> part<00:13:27.070> of<00:13:27.160> that<00:13:29.220> there's<00:13:30.220> certainly
you were part of that there's certainly
you were part of that there's certainly
no<00:13:30.730> technical<00:13:31.240> or<00:13:31.360> economic<00:13:31.450> barrier<00:13:32.080> in<00:13:32.260> the
no technical or economic barrier in the
no technical or economic barrier in the
way<00:13:34.230> scientists<00:13:35.230> like<00:13:35.350> James<00:13:35.620> Hansen<00:13:36.070> tell<00:13:36.220> us
way scientists like James Hansen tell us
way scientists like James Hansen tell us
we<00:13:36.460> may<00:13:36.610> need<00:13:36.820> to<00:13:36.880> eliminate<00:13:37.180> net<00:13:37.780> co2
we may need to eliminate net co2
we may need to eliminate net co2
emissions<00:13:38.500> from<00:13:38.620> the<00:13:38.860> economy<00:13:39.250> in<00:13:40.000> just<00:13:40.660> a<00:13:40.720> few
emissions from the economy in just a few
emissions from the economy in just a few
decades<00:13:41.050> I<00:13:41.590> wanted<00:13:42.340> to<00:13:42.400> know<00:13:42.490> what<00:13:42.640> that<00:13:42.730> would
decades I wanted to know what that would
decades I wanted to know what that would
take<00:13:43.060> so<00:13:43.300> I<00:13:43.330> work<00:13:43.540> with<00:13:43.570> Professor<00:13:44.140> Jurgen
take so I work with Professor Jurgen
take so I work with Professor Jurgen
Randers<00:13:45.010> from<00:13:45.220> Norway<00:13:45.580> to<00:13:46.710> find<00:13:47.710> the<00:13:47.830> answer
Randers from Norway to find the answer
Randers from Norway to find the answer
we<00:13:48.310> developed<00:13:49.030> a<00:13:49.180> plane<00:13:49.480> called<00:13:49.900> the<00:13:50.080> one
we developed a plane called the one
we developed a plane called the one
degree<00:13:50.500> ball<00:13:50.710> plane<00:13:51.870> so<00:13:52.870> named<00:13:53.140> because<00:13:53.410> of
degree ball plane so named because of
degree ball plane so named because of
the<00:13:53.740> level<00:13:53.980> of<00:13:54.040> mobilization<00:13:54.430> and<00:13:54.910> focus
the level of mobilization and focus
the level of mobilization and focus
required<00:13:56.910> to<00:13:57.910> my<00:13:58.060> surprise<00:13:58.450> eliminating<00:13:59.230> net
required to my surprise eliminating net
required to my surprise eliminating net
co2<00:13:59.920> emissions<00:14:00.250> from<00:14:00.520> the<00:14:00.700> economy<00:14:01.150> in<00:14:01.330> just
co2 emissions from the economy in just
co2 emissions from the economy in just
20<00:14:01.840> years<00:14:01.870> is<00:14:02.170> actually<00:14:02.470> pretty<00:14:02.680> easy<00:14:02.770> and
20 years is actually pretty easy and
20 years is actually pretty easy and
pretty<00:14:03.160> cheap<00:14:04.140> not<00:14:05.140> very<00:14:05.380> cheap<00:14:05.710> but
pretty cheap not very cheap but
pretty cheap not very cheap but
certainly<00:14:06.700> less<00:14:06.880> than<00:14:07.030> the<00:14:07.120> cost<00:14:07.300> of<00:14:07.450> a
certainly less than the cost of a
certainly less than the cost of a
collapsing<00:14:07.870> civilization<00:14:09.270> we<00:14:10.270> didn't
collapsing civilization we didn't
collapsing civilization we didn't
calculate<00:14:10.990> that<00:14:11.170> precisely<00:14:11.560> but<00:14:11.860> we
calculate that precisely but we
calculate that precisely but we
understand<00:14:12.370> it's<00:14:12.580> very<00:14:12.760> expensive<00:14:14.430> you<00:14:15.430> can
understand it's very expensive you can
understand it's very expensive you can
read<00:14:15.820> the<00:14:15.970> details<00:14:16.390> but<00:14:16.570> in<00:14:16.660> summary<00:14:16.990> we<00:14:17.290> can
read the details but in summary we can
read the details but in summary we can
transform<00:14:18.040> our<00:14:18.190> economy<00:14:18.250> we<00:14:19.150> can<00:14:19.300> do<00:14:19.420> it<00:14:19.570> with
transform our economy we can do it with
transform our economy we can do it with
proven<00:14:20.950> technology<00:14:21.460> we<00:14:22.090> can<00:14:22.270> do<00:14:22.360> it<00:14:22.510> at<00:14:22.630> an
proven technology we can do it at an
proven technology we can do it at an
affordable<00:14:22.930> cost<00:14:23.200> we<00:14:23.620> can<00:14:23.770> do<00:14:23.890> it<00:14:24.010> with
affordable cost we can do it with
affordable cost we can do it with
existing<00:14:24.370> political<00:14:24.730> structures<00:14:25.300> the<00:14:25.450> only
existing political structures the only
existing political structures the only
thing<00:14:26.050> we<00:14:26.650> need<00:14:26.800> to<00:14:26.920> change<00:14:27.190> is<00:14:27.400> how<00:14:27.580> we<00:14:27.640> think
thing we need to change is how we think
thing we need to change is how we think
and<00:14:28.180> how<00:14:28.270> we<00:14:28.780> feel<00:14:28.960> and<00:14:29.560> this<00:14:30.190> is<00:14:30.340> where<00:14:30.520> you
and how we feel and this is where you
and how we feel and this is where you
come<00:14:31.030> in<00:14:32.100> when<00:14:33.100> we<00:14:33.160> think<00:14:33.490> about<00:14:33.580> the<00:14:33.790> future<00:14:33.940> I
come in when we think about the future I
come in when we think about the future I
paint<00:14:34.450> of<00:14:34.630> course<00:14:34.810> we<00:14:35.200> should<00:14:35.260> feel<00:14:35.560> a<00:14:35.590> bit<00:14:35.830> of
paint of course we should feel a bit of
paint of course we should feel a bit of
fear<00:14:36.450> but<00:14:37.450> fear<00:14:37.750> can<00:14:37.780> be<00:14:37.930> paralyzing<00:14:38.020> or
fear but fear can be paralyzing or
fear but fear can be paralyzing or
motivating<00:14:39.550> we<00:14:40.120> need<00:14:40.270> to<00:14:40.390> accept<00:14:40.720> the<00:14:40.870> fear
motivating we need to accept the fear
motivating we need to accept the fear
and<00:14:41.320> then<00:14:41.440> we<00:14:41.560> need<00:14:41.710> to<00:14:41.740> act
and then we need to act
and then we need to act
we<00:14:43.390> need<00:14:43.570> to<00:14:43.720> act<00:14:43.900> like<00:14:44.230> the<00:14:44.740> future<00:14:45.100> depends
we need to act like the future depends
we need to act like the future depends
on<00:14:45.610> it
on it
on it
we<00:14:46.930> need<00:14:47.110> to<00:14:47.260> act<00:14:47.470> like<00:14:47.740> we<00:14:48.160> only<00:14:48.370> have<00:14:48.640> one
we need to act like we only have one
we need to act like we only have one
planet<00:14:51.270> we<00:14:52.270> can<00:14:52.450> do<00:14:52.600> this<00:14:52.780> I<00:14:53.050> know<00:14:53.260> the<00:14:53.830> free
planet we can do this I know the free
planet we can do this I know the free
market<00:14:54.640> fundamentalists<00:14:55.330> will<00:14:55.510> tell<00:14:55.720> you
market fundamentalists will tell you
market fundamentalists will tell you
that<00:14:56.200> more<00:14:56.440> growth<00:14:56.740> more<00:14:57.040> stuff<00:14:57.370> and<00:14:57.580> nine
that more growth more stuff and nine
that more growth more stuff and nine
billion<00:14:58.390> people<00:14:58.540> going<00:14:59.140> shopping<00:14:59.380> is<00:14:59.680> the
billion people going shopping is the
billion people going shopping is the
best<00:15:00.010> we<00:15:00.160> can<00:15:00.310> do<00:15:00.810> they're<00:15:01.810> wrong<00:15:02.370> we<00:15:03.370> can<00:15:03.550> be
best we can do they're wrong we can be
best we can do they're wrong we can be
more<00:15:03.910> we<00:15:04.210> can<00:15:04.390> be<00:15:04.540> much<00:15:04.750> more<00:15:06.660> we<00:15:07.660> have
more we can be much more we have
more we can be much more we have
achieved<00:15:08.200> remarkable<00:15:08.320> things<00:15:09.130> since<00:15:09.880> working
achieved remarkable things since working
achieved remarkable things since working
out<00:15:10.300> how<00:15:10.450> to<00:15:10.510> grow<00:15:10.690> food<00:15:10.720> some<00:15:11.200> 10,000<00:15:11.800> years
out how to grow food some 10,000 years
out how to grow food some 10,000 years
ago<00:15:12.190> we've<00:15:12.400> built<00:15:12.730> a<00:15:12.880> powerful<00:15:13.570> foundation<00:15:13.860> of
ago we've built a powerful foundation of
ago we've built a powerful foundation of
science<00:15:15.370> knowledge<00:15:15.820> and<00:15:16.150> technology<00:15:16.600> more
science knowledge and technology more
science knowledge and technology more
enough<00:15:17.260> to<00:15:18.220> build<00:15:18.370> a<00:15:18.490> society<00:15:19.029> where<00:15:19.210> nine
enough to build a society where nine
enough to build a society where nine
billion<00:15:19.690> people<00:15:19.810> can<00:15:20.260> lead<00:15:20.440> decent
billion people can lead decent
billion people can lead decent
meaningful<00:15:21.700> and<00:15:21.910> satisfying<00:15:22.060> lives<00:15:22.660> the<00:15:23.529> US
meaningful and satisfying lives the US
meaningful and satisfying lives the US
can<00:15:23.920> support<00:15:24.190> that<00:15:24.339> if<00:15:24.850> we<00:15:25.089> choose<00:15:25.300> the<00:15:25.480> right
can support that if we choose the right
can support that if we choose the right
path<00:15:28.110> we<00:15:29.110> can<00:15:29.140> choose<00:15:29.529> this<00:15:29.710> moment<00:15:29.920> of<00:15:30.130> crisis
path we can choose this moment of crisis
path we can choose this moment of crisis
to<00:15:30.700> ask<00:15:30.880> an<00:15:31.150> answer<00:15:31.510> the<00:15:31.690> big<00:15:31.870> questions<00:15:32.290> of
to ask an answer the big questions of
to ask an answer the big questions of
society's<00:15:33.010> evolution<00:15:33.570> like<00:15:34.570> what<00:15:35.020> do<00:15:35.110> we<00:15:35.170> want
society's evolution like what do we want
society's evolution like what do we want
to<00:15:35.380> be<00:15:35.560> when<00:15:36.250> we<00:15:36.279> grow<00:15:36.490> up<00:15:36.750> when<00:15:37.750> we<00:15:37.870> move<00:15:38.050> past
to be when we grow up when we move past
to be when we grow up when we move past
this<00:15:38.650> bumbling<00:15:39.190> adolescence<00:15:39.790> where<00:15:40.420> we<00:15:40.510> think
this bumbling adolescence where we think
this bumbling adolescence where we think
there<00:15:40.870> are<00:15:41.200> no<00:15:41.380> limits<00:15:41.410> and<00:15:41.950> suffer<00:15:42.640> delusions
there are no limits and suffer delusions
there are no limits and suffer delusions
of<00:15:43.180> immortality<00:15:44.070> well<00:15:45.070> it's<00:15:45.310> time<00:15:45.520> to<00:15:45.670> grow<00:15:45.820> up
of immortality well it's time to grow up
of immortality well it's time to grow up
to<00:15:47.770> do<00:15:47.890> wiser<00:15:48.160> to<00:15:48.700> become<00:15:49.029> a<00:15:49.060> to<00:15:49.510> be<00:15:49.600> more
to do wiser to become a to be more
to do wiser to become a to be more
considered<00:15:50.490> like<00:15:51.490> generations<00:15:51.790> before<00:15:52.630> us
considered like generations before us
considered like generations before us
we'll<00:15:53.350> be<00:15:53.470> growing<00:15:53.620> up<00:15:53.770> in<00:15:53.920> war<00:15:54.160> not<00:15:55.029> a<00:15:55.060> war
we'll be growing up in war not a war
we'll be growing up in war not a war
between<00:15:55.950> civilizations<00:15:56.950> but<00:15:57.100> a<00:15:57.130> war<00:15:57.400> for
between civilizations but a war for
between civilizations but a war for
civilization<00:15:58.420> for<00:15:59.050> the<00:15:59.170> extraordinary
civilization for the extraordinary
civilization for the extraordinary
opportunity<00:16:00.339> to<00:16:01.029> build<00:16:01.210> a<00:16:01.330> society<00:16:02.070> which<00:16:03.070> is
opportunity to build a society which is
opportunity to build a society which is
stronger<00:16:03.520> and<00:16:03.850> happier<00:16:04.360> and<00:16:04.779> plans<00:16:05.620> on
stronger and happier and plans on
stronger and happier and plans on
staying<00:16:06.160> around<00:16:06.580> into<00:16:07.450> middle-age<00:16:09.029> we<00:16:10.029> can
staying around into middle-age we can
staying around into middle-age we can
choose<00:16:10.660> life<00:16:11.080> over<00:16:11.410> fear<00:16:11.710> we<00:16:12.220> can<00:16:12.490> do<00:16:12.700> what<00:16:12.970> we
choose life over fear we can do what we
choose life over fear we can do what we
need<00:16:13.120> to<00:16:13.300> do<00:16:14.850> but<00:16:15.850> it<00:16:15.940> will<00:16:16.060> take<00:16:16.710> every
need to do but it will take every
need to do but it will take every
entrepreneur<00:16:18.190> every<00:16:19.000> artist<00:16:19.390> every
entrepreneur every artist every
entrepreneur every artist every
scientist<00:16:20.650> every<00:16:20.830> communicator<00:16:21.700> every
scientist every communicator every
scientist every communicator every
mother<00:16:22.750> every<00:16:23.350> father<00:16:23.380> every<00:16:23.950> child<00:16:24.810> every
mother every father every child every
mother every father every child every
one<00:16:25.959> of<00:16:25.990> us<00:16:27.180> this<00:16:28.180> could<00:16:28.420> be<00:16:28.600> our<00:16:29.320> finest<00:16:29.830> hour
one of us this could be our finest hour
one of us this could be our finest hour
thank<00:16:30.850> you
Paul Gilding, TED, TED, Talk, resources, livable, space, sustainability, sustainable, consequences, TED-Ed, TEDEducation, Ed
